Russian Influence Operations 2023
2023-11-30 04:13:19 Author: krypt3ia.wordpress.com(查看原文) 阅读量:18 收藏

This is an analysis report generated from ChatGPT4 from an Agent Analyst I created.

Recent Russian influence operations have been multifaceted, targeting various regions and employing a range of tactics.

  1. Technology-Enabled Influence Operations: Both Russia and China have been focusing on technology-enabled influence operations, including disinformation, to impede U.S. crisis response and alliance management, especially under high-risk scenarios. These operations are designed to shape the strategic environment covertly or obscurely, using information manipulation​​.
  2. Hybrid Warfare Trends in the Ukraine Conflict: In the ongoing Ukraine conflict, Russia has continued to use cyber and influence operations to weaken Kyiv’s resolve and diminish support for Ukraine across Europe. Tactics include:
    • Intensifying computer network operations targeting diplomatic, military, and private-sector organizations.
    • Amplifying domestic discontent in European nations about war costs and fears of a larger conflict.
    • Promoting right-wing populist narratives.
    • Exploiting divisions within NATO member states.
    • Undermining solidarity with Ukraine by stoking tensions around refugees.
    • Targeting diaspora communities with false narratives.
    • Increasing operations by purported hacktivist groups​​.
  3. Influence in the Balkans: Russia has been leveraging ethnic and religious fault lines in the Balkans, particularly with its long-standing ally Serbia, to undermine integration with the EU and NATO. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has, however, caused some Balkan governments to reassess their relationships with Moscow. Russia’s approach in the Balkans includes exploiting regional cleavages and amplifying tensions, as well as making strategic investments through state-controlled firms to boost political sway​​​​​​.
  4. Long-Term Operations in the U.S. and Europe: A newly declassified U.S. intelligence analysis revealed that Russia is intensifying its efforts to spread pro-Russia and anti-Ukraine messages in the U.S. and Europe. This includes using influence-laundering techniques and allies in nominally independent organizations to disseminate propaganda and build ties with emerging leaders, intended as long-term strategies. These efforts are aimed at developing a network of young leaders supportive of Russia, including through programs that build support for Russia among Americans and Europeans​​.

These operations reflect a complex and adaptive approach by Russia to influence international opinion and political landscapes across various regions, combining traditional propaganda with modern cyber tactics.


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